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Results[]

Poll2094

Tuesday, August 16th, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2094
Division 20XX Division
Match # 29
Match Date Tuesday, August 16th, 2005
Vote difference 51,894
Oracle
Expectations
Mega Man - 78.46%
87 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Mega Man - 88.83%
(30,018 brackets)

"Conker looks like he's decomposing." -yoblazer33

Summer 2004 was essentially the death of the new-age platformer character in these contests, as evidenced by the horrendous performances of virtually all of them. Conker only returned to the field due to Live and Reloaded being released right around nomination time, and his odds of ever returning again are slim to none assuming no future timely releases.

The only thing to really watch for in this match was 22.73%, which was Conker's expected percentage to score in the match. Essentially, this match was but a setup for the Sonic/Mega Man clash, and Mega Man performing well paired with Sonic's perceived disappointment against Jin could essentially end that far-off duel before it ever began.

Mega Man started off on a tear, and within 15 minutes had well over 80% of the votes. However, Mega Man's percentage soon began to level off and not only did Conker shave off a few percents, but he managed to get Mega Man under his projected value. The Sonic > Mega Man bandwagon started picking up a lot of steam once this happened, especially given that Mega Man was relatively underperforming against a rotting corpse.

Seriously, look at that damned thing. All its missing are the maggots.

However, even if you wanted to believe that this match spelled trouble for Mega Man down the line, there was Conker's newfound Xbox exposure to take into account. Xbox fans will vote anything Xbox over anything else, and Conker's shaving off percentage from Mega Man falls right in line with Master Chief's best part of every poll. In fact, Conker's getting Mega Man under 76% at one point not only fell in line with Master Chief's best time, but Mega Man's recovery fell directly in line with Master Chief's collapse against Frog last year.

It may not be a full explanation for Mega Man not performing to speed, but it's not out of the question either. And it's not like we had much else to discuss during the match other than the incoming storm of GFNW jokes.

Match Trends[]

Graph2094

External Links[]

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)


Tournament of
Champions

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth

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