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Cb05b45

Results Edit

Poll2110

Thursday, September 1st, 2005

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 2110
Round Chaos Division Semi Final
Match # 45
Match Date Thursday, September 1st, 2005
Vote difference 34,150
Oracle
Expectations
Sonic - 65.31%
78 for - 1 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Sonic - 69.44%
(23,466 brackets)

With most of the entertainment out of the way for the second round, we entered a string of boring matches that essentially only existed to help the round come to a relaxing close. In fact, we weren't going to have another interesting match outright until Kirby/Bowser. Everything up until then were setups and placement bouts that solely exist to cut the weeds out of the bracket.

One such weed is Diablo, who could make a great case for being the fodder line these days. It's not like we can use Vyse with any accuracy, after all.

In terms of Sonic/Diablo the match, Sonic was a lock to win. No debate necessary. The only thing we could really look for in this match was for Diablo to validate his Spring 2005 strength, as well as to see where Sonic stood assuming a constant Diablo between then and now. Chaos and 20XX were horribly boring divisions, and virtually every match in them was either a lock, a contest to see who would get crushed by Sonic or Mega, or fodder/fodder duels. The only interesting match we would see in either division in the entire contest would be Ocelot/Pac Man.

And this match was about as boring as could be. The only thing of any note is that for a rather long while in the match, Diablo was given no link to the poll over on Diabloii.net. There was a stark contrast in how Diablo performed before and after the link was finally posted, and it validates what we knew all along; Diabloii.net was a part of Diabo's strength in the Spring 2005 X-Stats, and one must factor in a potential link should Diablo see bracket placement in the future. For what it's worth, another interesting fact of this poll is that Sonic didn't completely kill Diablo come the day vote; in fact, Sonic was remarkably consistent throughout the poll until the D2 link was posted. This caused Sonic to lose around a full percent of the vote.

However, the other part to this poll was whether or not Sonic's chances against Mega Man were good, and given that Spring 2005 Diablo was expected to score 34.79% against 2004 Sonic, it would be foolish to deny that Sonic had an extremely good chance at Mega Man when the time came. Diablo underperformed by a full 3%, and the margin is wider if the D2 link never happens. I don't believe that this performance vaulted Sonic 2004 over what Mega Man would be projected to score, but anything can happen in a match that's close enough. All we needed to do now was to sit through more boring-ass matches in the two divisions until their fated winners clashed.

Match Trends Edit

Graph2110

External Links Edit

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)


Tournament of
Champions

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth

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