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(2)Auron vs (7)Big Boss 2005

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Cb05b08

Results Edit

Poll2073

Tuesday, July 26th, 2005

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 2073
Division Zebes Division
Match # 08
Match Date Tuesday, July 26th, 2005
Vote difference 40,639
Oracle
Expectations
Auron - 65.27%
105 for - 1 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Auron - 76.97%
(26,010 brackets)

I loooove easy writeups, and this one is about as simple as it gets. Everyone knew that Auron would win, and win he did. However, this was little more than Auron's tuneup for his impending clash with Ganondorf.

If you can even call it a clash, that is. One could argue that the outcome of that match was sealed after this match (I'd argue that it was obvious before the contest started, but that's besides the point).

Let's go over all the usual categories:

Prediction Percentage? Advantage Ganon.

Total Votes? Advantage Ganon.

Recent Exposure? Advantage Ganon. Argue against TP hype all you want, but Auron was barely in FFX-2 at all. Besides, I'd count Spring 2005 as recent exposure for Ganon.

Individual vote totals? Advantage Auron, but he only managed 2000 extra votes against an opponent that is likely a lot weaker than Yuna is. I wouldn't exactly call this one good news.

Intangibles? Advantage Ganon. There was clearly a massive carry-over of support for him from the spring, so he'd likely have the necessary bracket votes to win a close match.

Of course, I will admit that this is bias speaking on some level, as I had Ganon winning that match from the start and had my assumption confirmed by this match. But even from an unbiased perspective, I can't imagine feeling good about Auron's chances against Ganon after this match. Sure he wound up overperforming based upon expectations, but look at how often are expectations wrong when discussing new characters.

Besides, even if you want to argue that Big Boss should have been strong based off of Metal Gear Solid 3, look at that match pic. I can see Big Boss doing well if he's given a Naked Snake pic, but a melting cartoon pic of a character model that doesn't appear live in any MGS title isn't going to do Big Boss any favors. I'm always an advocate of pictures not mattering too much, but this one may be an exception given the massive popularity of MGS3. Naked Snake does better against Auron than whatever the hell that thing is up there. I practically guarantee it.

Come to think of it, I'm really starting to wonder what Big Boss could do in one of these things if given a Naked Snake pic. It's not like CJayC is against completely ruining a game's biggest spoiler in a match pic or anything (Hi, Kefka/Mithos!).

Match Trends Edit

Graph2073

External Links Edit

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)


Tournament of
Champions

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth

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