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Cb05b16

Results[]

Poll2081

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2081
Division Dream Division
Match # 16
Match Date Wednesday, August 3rd, 2005
Vote difference 12,156
Oracle
Expectations
Ryu - 62.17%
102 for - 4 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Ryu - 74.98%
(25,338 brackets)

After Bowser spent an entire 24 hours leaving us wondering whether or not his performance in the spring was truly something special, Ryu decided to answer all of our questions for us.

For those unfamiliar with who Rikku is, she's that loud-mouthed girl in FFX that serves as a horrible form of comedy relief in the game. Really, she's got jack squat on Ultros or Gilgamesh. And then Square decided to put her in FFX-2 and show her "true personality" (which didn't change, mind you; she just wore less clothes). To this day, I have no clue how I managed to get a 100% in that game without ripping out my eyes.

Anyway, to the point. Bowser did what he was supposed to. In fact, some would argue that he did less. Ryu could have gone out there and proved that the Dream Division was his for the taking, because frankly, everyone thought that this division was going to come down to the Bowser/Ryu match.

So what does Ryu go out and do? He absolutely and completely ****ing chokes. Possible FFX-2 affects aside, the board expected Ryu to do rather well in this match (the average Oracle pick was 62.17%) and prove that we were perhaps overestimating Bowser based on the spring.

Not only did Ryu not come close to breaking expectations, but the rate that he started bombing in the match was alarming. It took less than ten minutes for a board vote that had him at nearly 70% to push him under 60%, and his percentage gradually dropped throughout the day. If you stare at the updater long enough, you'll occasionally see Rikku going 50/50 with Ryu in an update or winning an update outright every once in a long while.

Rikku. Going 50/50 in spots against Ryu, the same guy who has broken 40% against three different Noble Nine characters, the same guy who almost upset Sonic, and one of the brick walls of consistency in these contests. Some people blamed this entire thing on TJF and/or FFX-2 while still trying to justify Ryu > Bowser, and I laughed quite hard in these cases.

For the record, even if you want to blame this match solely on FFX-2 while leaving Ryu constant, you'd have to convince yourself that Rikku was as strong or stronger than Tidus and that she had a good chance of breaking 48% on Auron. According to 2004 stats, at least.

The 2004 stats may be completely screwed up, but not even I'm willing to say they're that screwed up. Either Ryu dropped and had no chance whatsoever on Bowser, or Rikku just happens to be as strong as the two most popular characters in her game despite arguably getting the least amount of character development out of any of the cast in FFX.

Yet people actually bothered arguing Ryu > Bowser after this. Hilarious. This whole thing eventually led into a discussion in which I asked Slowflake if I could laugh at him if Bowser won.

His response? "You can laugh at me if Bowser kills Ryu and comes close to breaking 60%, how about that?"

Paraphrased of course, but still hilarious.

Match Trends[]

Graph2081

External Links[]

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)


Tournament of
Champions

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth

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