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Spr04b54

Results Edit

Poll1654

Friday, May 28th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 1654
Round Division 32-64 Semi Final
Match # 54
Match Date Friday, May 28th, 2004
Vote difference 33,409
Oracle
Expectations
Ocarina of Time - 70.80%
55 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Ocarina of Time - 60.73%
(24,863 brackets)

This will be one of the shortest analyses in the entire topic, as it's really easy to look at this match. Pity that no one actually cared about this match, too. It was all about setting up the true final of this contest.

As I said in the last match, Ocarina of Time had to clearly outperform Final Fantasy 7's total. It did so, but by only 1.75%. Metal Gear Solid is clearly stronger than Goldeneye, and a 1.75% difference between the two games against their respective opponents did not mean well for Ocarina of Time in the next round. Another interesting note would be that Ocarina of Time's poll scored 7500 less votes. Ocarina of Time also scored less votes, and the prediction percentages did not favor the Zelda title in the next round at all; a difference of over 18% in prediction percentage this late in the contest is not good when you're on the low end. And before people start yelling at me for bringing up prediction percentage again, we had stats by this point in the contest, and the numbers were clear as day. Ocarina of Time clearly had a hill to climb in its next match.

There is only one real note I can make about this match, and again Slowflake mentioned it first. The irony of this match was wonderful. Ocarina of Time is the best-selling N64 title, but which game was #1 until it game along?

It was -- you guessed it -- Frank Stall... err, Goldeneye.

  • mentions something about Zelda being 11-0, then leaves topic*

And surely, Zelda would be an easy 12-0 after the first three rounds. I mean, little Starcraft couldn't possibly give Wind Waker the fits.... could it?

Match Trends Edit

Graph1654

External Links Edit

Previous Match       • Next Match

2004 Spring Contest Matches

Round One
SMB3 > Metal Gear
Metroid > Pac-Man
Contra > Phantasy Star
FF > Pitfall
Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
Zelda > Adventure
Pong > River City Ransom
Tetris > Galaga
CT > Secret of Mana
SMRPG > Street Fighter II
Sonic 2 > Shining Force
SMW > Simpsons
Zelda: LttP > Gunstar Heroes
Super Metroid > PS IV
Doom > Earthbound

FF VI > Mortal Kombat
FF VII > Suikoden II
Xenogears > Pokemon GSC
FFT > DDR
MGS > RE
SotN > Perfect Dark
Goldeneye > PDS
SM64 > NiGHTS
Zelda: OoT > Fallout 2
Starcraft > Halo
KH > Soul Calibur
Zelda: WW > Skies of Arcadia
Metroid Prime > Half-Life
FFTA > Fire Emblem
FF X > Shenmue
GTA: Vice City > KoTOR
SSBM > MGS 2

Round Two
SMB 3 > Metroid
FF > Contra
Zelda > Donkey Kong
Tetris > Pong
CT > SMRPG
SMW > Sonic 2
Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
FF VI > Doom
FF VII > Xenogears
MGS > FFT
Goldeneye > SotN
Zelda: OoT > SM64
Starcraft > KH
Zelda: WW > Metroid Prime
FF X > FFTA
SSBM > GTA: Vice City

R3 and following
SMB3 > FF
Zelda > Tetris
CT > SMW
Zelda: LttP > FF VI
FF VII > MGS
Zelda: OoT > Goldeneye
Starcraft > Zelda: WW
SSBM > FF X
SMB3 > Zelda
CT > Zelda: LttP
FF VII > Zelda: OoT
SSBM > Starcraft
CT > SMB3
FF VII > SSBM
FF VII > CT (Finals)

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