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(6)Magus vs (11)Luca Blight 2004

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Sum04b05

Results Edit

Poll1722

Thursday, August 5th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 1722
Division Hyrule Division
Match # 05
Match Date Thursday, August 5th, 2004
Vote difference 43,761
Oracle
Expectations
Magus - 76.08%
89 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Magus - 90.45%
(30,048 brackets)

Just to warn everyone well in advance, this may be somewhat biased. Not only is Magus my favorite character, but I haven't played a game in the Suikoden series.

With that in mind, the only thing that bothered me about this match was the low vote total. Magus had everything else going for him, and considering what fate await Magus in the second round, it was nice to see Magus in a dominating position before he was finally taken down. To see 90% of people predict Magus to win a match after seeing a mere 24.25% of people calling him to make the third round last year was a nice breath of fresh air. I don't know if this spoke of Magus's strength or Luca Blight's weakness among the general population of GameFAQs, but regardless, any stat that goes in Magus's favor will make me a happy guy =)

On the other side of all of this, Luca Blight winds up being another glaring example in a long line; cult characters simply do not do well in these contests, and the mentality of the fanbases of cult characters is more of a "Happy to be here" than it is of having a chance to win. When one considers how low the vote totals were in this match, Luca Blight's stock looks even worse for not even being able to manage 20% of the vote. When the final Xsts are released, Luca Blight will look even worse. The Luca Blight army did their job of getting blight into the contest, but a couple hundred people doesn't make a character strong in these polls. Luca Blight may do better next year now that he has been in the field once, but I doubt it. I love Magus and all, but is he not a character who is typically able to get 80% of the vote. Luca just stunk it up that much.

Match Trends Edit

Graph1722

External Links Edit

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2004 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Link > CATS
Ganondorf > Alucard
Yoshi > Ryo Hazuki
Luigi > Pac-Man
Magus > Luca Blight
Crono > Conker
Bowser > Guybrush
Mario > JC Denton
Mega Man > Earthworm Jim
Tidus > Shadow
Vercetti > Max Payne
Zero > Protoman
Frog > Liquid
Master Chief > Crash
Knuckles > Kefka

Snake > Tanner
Cloud > Duke
Vyse > Laharl
Kirby > Kain
Squall > Bomberman
Ness > Jak
Auron > Scorpion
Vivi > Donkey Kong
Sephiroth > Sly Cooper
Sonic > Terry Bogard
Ryu > KOS-MOS
Tails > VJ
Dante > Ratchet
Sora > HK-47
Ryu H > Jill
Sam Fisher > Gordon
Samus > Lara

Round Two
Link > Ganondorf
Yoshi > Luigi
Crono > Magus
Mario > Bowser
Mega Man > Tidus
Zero > Vercetti
Frog > Master Chief
Snake > Knuckles
Cloud > Vyse
Squall > Kirby
Auron > Ness
Sephiroth > Vivi
Sonic > Ryu
Dante > Tails
Sora > Ryu H
Samus > Sam Fisher

R3 and following
Link > Yoshi
Crono > Mario
Mega Man > Zero
Snake > Frog
Cloud > Squall
Sephiroth > Auron
Sonic > Dante
Samus > Sora
Link > Crono
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Sephiroth
Samus > Sonic
Link > Mega Man
Cloud > Samus
Link > Cloud (Finals)

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