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Cb6-58

Results[]

Round Four

Poll2920

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2920
Round Quarter Final
Match # 58
Match Date Tuesday, October 30th, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Link - 39.16%
Sephiroth - 28.98%
Mario - 17.86%
Vincent - 13.92%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Link first place (16pts) - 22.25%
Link second place (8pts) - 48.09%
Sephiroth second place (16pts) - 15.06%
Sephiroth first place (8pts) - 46.91%
Advancing
Prediction
Link - 70.34% (25,832)
Sephiroth - 61.97% (22,758)

Vincent's reward for upsetting Crono was.... Sephiroth. Goodbye, Vincent. "Ouch" doesn't really cut it here.

This was our second straight boring quarterfinal match, since everyone knew going in Sephiroth would outdo Mario thanks to Link being in the poll. What was unexpected however was Mario holding his own for a bit. He didn't come close to being in second or anything, but the early parts of the poll were still pretty fun. Mario also clearly weakened Link in this poll, to the point where removing Vincent and adding in a non-Nintendo/Square character could have potentially allowed Sephiroth to sneak into first place.

This was the first time all contest where Link looked at all vulnerable, which gave the people who picked Cloud > Link in the final some hope.

Fun with numbers:

Final Fantasy 7 - 59910
Link - 52795

Stats and Analysis[]

what looked to be a boring quarterfinal match turned up with an unexpected twist: Mario. in 2006's battle royale, Mario got trashed by Link being in the poll, finishing a distant fifth and not doing all that much better than Samus. in this match, though, Mario stood up to Link early, went pretty even with Sephiroth despite Link being in the poll, and had a pretty impressive first hour. he fell off pretty hard after that, but there was some talk that he'd do as bad as Vincent Valentine, and that clearly didn't happen.

the main thing we looked at here was Nintendo's votes vs. FF7's votes -- 58.5 to 41.5. Cloud had a tough task ahead of him if he was going to beat Link.

Match Trends[]

Graph2920

External Links[]

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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