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Most Surprising Results

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Charizardvsbowser

Charizard's upset of Bowser in '10 was the Most Surprising Result in 1v1 history

The Most Surprising Results in GameFAQs Contest history, based on what percentage of brackets site-wide expected them to occur.

Special Note: All 2007, 2008, and 2009 stats are based solely on how many brackets picked a character to advance, not how many had them to advance in the correct position, because SB's failure to explain the bracket more clearly resulted in nearly 50% of pickers not realizing that order mattered.

See Also Edit

Most Surprising Results of All-Time Edit

Entrants who predictors site-wide gave the least chance of advancing out of this particular round (or in the case of a 4-way Final, least chance of finishing #1 or #2).

  1. Draven (R5) - 0.73% vs Snake and Samus in 2013
  2. Draven (R4) - 0.93% vs Mewtwo and Sephiroth in 2013
  3. L-Block (R6) - 0.99% vs Link, Cloud, Snake in 2007
  4. Draven (R3) - 1.19% vs Link and Commander Shepard in 2013
  5. L-Block (R5) - 1.66% vs Snake, Master Chief, Dante in 2007
  6. Squirtle (R3) - 2.33% vs Cloud and Leon in 2013
  7. L-Block (R4) - 2.35% vs Snake, Sonic, Squall in 2007
  8. Charizard (R4) - 3.17% vs Bowser in 2010
  9. L-Block (R3) - 3.48% vs Snake, Kratos, Riku in 2007
  10. Mewtwo (R3) - 3.60% vs Cloud, Squall, Sora in 2008
  11. Red (R3) - 3.95% vs Vivi and Squall in 2013
  12. Majora's Mask (R7) - 4.20% vs Brawl in 2010
  13. Vivi (R2) - 4.61% vs Mario and Ganondorf in 2013
  14. Final Fantasy X (R5) - 5.15% vs Ocarina of Time, Metal Gear Solid 4, Super Smash Bros. Brawl in 2009
  15. Cloud (R6) - 6.04% vs Sephiroth in 2003
  16. Samus (R4) - 6.33% vs Red and Mega Man in 2013
  17. Kirby (R4) - 6.38% vs Sephiroth, Sonic, Dante in 2008
  18. L-Block (R2) - 6.67% vs Kratos, Kirby, Donkey Kong in 2007
  19. Brawl (R6) - 6.88% vs Fallout 3 in 2010
  20. Melee (R4) - 7.16% vs StarCraft in 2004
  21. Majora's Mask (R6) - 7.88% vs Final Fantasy X in 2010
  22. StarCraft (R3) - 7.91% vs Wind Waker in 2004
  23. Mewtwo (R3) - 8.33% vs Sonic and Bowser in 2013
  24. Snake (BR) - 8.52% to outlast Sephiroth and Mario in the 2006 BR
  25. Charizard (R3) - 8.83% vs L-Block in 2010

Seasonal Representation Edit

Most Surprising Results - 1v1 ONLY Edit

The least-expected results site-wide, when considering only traditional 1v1 main bracket results (no Tournament of Champions, Battle Royale, or 4-ways allowed).

  1. Charizard (R4) - 3.17% vs Bowser in 2010
  2. Majora's Mask (R7) - 4.20% vs Brawl in 2010
  3. Cloud (R6) - 6.04% vs Sephiroth in 2003
  4. Brawl (R6) - 6.88% vs Fallout 3 in 2010
  5. Melee (R4) - 7.16% vs StarCraft in 2004
  6. Majora's Mask (R6) - 7.88% vs Final Fantasy X in 2010
  7. StarCraft (R3) - 7.91% vs Wind Waker in 2004
  8. Charizard (R3) - 8.83% vs L-Block in 2010
  9. Brawl (R5) - 10.96% vs Twilight Princess in 2010
  10. Kingdom Hearts II (R3) - 11.70% vs Kingdom Hearts in 2010
  11. Vincent (R3) - 12.47% vs Squall in 2005
  12. Samus (R6) - 12.54% vs Snake in 2006
  13. Link (R6) - 12.77% vs Mario in 2002
  14. Metal Gear Solid 3 (R4) - 13.13% vs Shadow of the Colossus in 2010
  15. Sonic (R4) - 13.31% vs Crono in 2006
  16. Cloud (R5) - 13.37% vs Link in 2003
  17. Paper Mario (R2) - 13.73% vs World of Warcraft in 2010
  18. Missingno. (R2) - 14.06% vs Yoshi in 2010
  19. Melee (R3) - 14.18% vs FFX in 2004
  20. Mega Man (R4) - 14.53% vs Snake in 2003
  21. Crono (R4) - 14.63% vs Snake in 2002
  22. Diablo (R3) - 14.76% vs Kefka in 2005
  23. Majora's Mask (R5) - 14.79% vs Metal Gear Solid 3 in 2010
  24. Shadow of the Colossus (R3) - 15.19% vs Metal Gear Solid 4 in 2010
  25. StarCraft (R2) - 15.62% vs Kingdom Hearts 2004

Seasonal Representation Edit

Most Surprising Results of Round One Edit

  1. Yuna - 15.40% vs Master Chief and Claire Redfield in 2013
  2. Tales of Symphonia - 16.10% vs Oblivion, God of War, San Andreas in 2009
  3. The Secret of Monkey Island - 18.97% vs Super Mario Bros. 3, SimCity, Tecmo Super Bowl in 2009
  4. Sub-Zero - 20.27% vs Master Chief in 2006
  5. Missingno. - 21.94% vs Crono in 2010
  6. Urdnot Wrex - 23.71% vs Pit and Cecil Harvey in 2013
  7. StarCraft - 24.09% vs Halo in 2004
  8. Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald - 26.23% vs Grand Theft Auto IV in 2010
  9. Mr. Game & Watch - 26.40% vs Lee Everett and Meat Boy in 2013
  10. Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door - 29.33% vs Gears of War in 2010
  11. KOS-MOS - 30.09% vs Mega Man, Arthas, Diablo in 2007
  12. Catherine - 30.43% vs Neku Sakuraba and Vaas Montenegro in 2013
  13. Castlevania - 31.49% vs Halo in 2006
  14. Portal - 32.29% vs Metal Gear Solid 4, Bioshock, LittleBigPlanet in 2009
  15. Morrowind - 32.76% vs Warcraft III in 2010
  16. L-Block - 32.77% vs Kirby, Laharl, Nathan Hale in 2007
  17. Pokemon Trainer Blue - 32.98% vs Fox McCloud and Wolf O'Donnell in 2013
  18. Sandbag - 33.03% vs Sonic, Magus, Commander Shepard in 2008
  19. HK-47 - 33.24% vs Zero, Lloyd, Jak in 2007
  20. Diablo II - 33.75% vs Halo, Knights of the Old Republic, Grand Theft Auto III in 2009
  21. Big Boss - 33.79% vs Mario, Pac-Man, Wander in 2007
  22. Warcraft - 33.94% vs Grand Theft Auto in 2006
  23. Mudkip - 34.50% vs Luigi, Pit, Tingle in 2007
  24. Bidoof - 34.56% vs Link, Edgeworth, Agent J in 2007
  25. Knuckles - 35.08% vs Magus in 2005

Seasonal Representation Edit

External Links Edit

  • gfcontests.com - full prediction percentage breakdowns from every Contest

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