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Cb6-51

Results Edit

Round Three

Poll2913

Tuesday, October 23nd, 2007

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 2913
Round Division 3 Final
Match # 51
Match Date Tuesday, October 23nd, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Sephiroth - 40.15%
Mario - 33.85%
Big Boss - 13.62%
Fox- 12.51%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Sephiroth first place (8pts) - 72.73%
Sephiroth second place (4pts) - 12.01%
Mario second place (8pts) - 66.01%
Mario first place (4pts) - 15.29%
Advancing
Prediction
Sephiroth - 84.74% (31,120)
Mario - 81.30% (29,857)

Sephiroth > Mario at the top was extremely predictable, making this one of the least interesting matches of the entire contest. It was also a terrible picture; only Sephiroth looked any good at all, which makes you laugh at the people who try bashing FF7's graphics. Mario kept it close for a few minutes, but ultimately the match went Sephiroth's way with ease.

Past those two, we had pure Sony fanbase versus pure Nintendo and all we learned is Sephiroth hurt Big Boss much less than Mario annihilated Fox. I know Link is the Nintendo kingpin, but Mario can get the benefits of SFF just as much.

Discussing the Mario > Sephiroth upset is always worth thinking about, even if Seph has completely dominated the series. Seph is trending down little by little each year. The next match this contest would have Link in it, so obviously Seph was going to advance there.

But just look at the numbers here:

Seph + Big Boss = 81582
Mario + Fox = 61907

43% for Mario and Fox. We're now in 2011, a year removed from Snake completely embarrassing Sephiroth in a 12 hour day match. IT'S FREAKING MARIO can't have possibly made up 7% over the past four years? It's definitely an upset worth thinking about if we ever see that match 1v1 again.

Stats and Analysis Edit

this match was, basically, five minutes of fun and 23:55 of boring. Sephiroth hasn't really had any notable matches because he's on a bit of an island - weaker than Cloud or Link, stronger than everyone else by a good amount. usually, his only interesting matches is when he underperforms.

his one positive over the years has been how he treats Mario like the Midgar Zolom. there's just something about Sephiroth that Mario folds to. 2003, he got utterly annihilated. 2005, Mario spent two months looking untouchable until Sephiroth started ramming him hard. come 2007, Mario had as good a shot as ever - the Wii came out, Mario Galaxy was coming out soon, NSMB, and Sephiroth was simply a year older and more irrelevant. Mario > Sephiroth was a cute little upset pick pre-contest that went largely undiscussed, but as the contest went on it was talked about a lot more. Mario's impressive round 1 match, combined with Sephiroth's perceived disappointment (he was up against CATS, and we know how percentages suffer when joke characters are involved), made it a reasonable pick.

round 2 pretty much ended any discussion of that when Sephiroth came out and took care of business. by the time the match rolled around, it was just a matter of how much Seph would win by. the only fun part was to see if Mario could hold the lead at the beginning -- and he did, for a short while. Sephiroth took it back and just crushed him overnight, though Mario did somewhat respectably when compared to previous efforts. this match wasn't very interesting, but I liked the buildup and always like seeing our strongest go at it, even if it's not the closest of matches.

the big disappointment for me in this match was Fox. argh, what a waste. nominate this guy next year, board 8. he deserves a legit shot, not a bunch of weak Nintendo characters followed by being put in a match with Mr. Nintendo himself.

Match Trends Edit

Graph2913

External Links Edit

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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